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Politics & Legal > A National Security Neophyte

  A National Security Neophyte


“National defense is one of the cardinal duties of a statesman.” —John Adams


This week, Iranian Islamist Mahmud Ahmadi-Nejad tested his new ballistic missile, the Shahab-3—range 1,250 miles. Next door in Iraq, 550 metric tons of “yellowcake” uranium ore, which Saddam intended to weaponize for use in his non-existent WMD program were removed from Tuwaitha. (That’s enough for more than 100 medium-sized nuclear boomers.) And while al-Qa’ida has been routed in Iraq, there was plenty of evidence this week that jihadis are putting up fierce resistance in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

Seems like this is as good a week as any to pause and ponder, “Who should be our next commander in chief?”

The most important constitutional role of our president is that of commander in chief—which is why every American, every human on the planet, should be deeply concerned about the prospect of a “President Obama.”

If Barack Hussein Obama, the most liberal member of the U.S. Senate, persuades voters that he is a “centrist candidate” and parlays that deception into defeating John McCain, there will be plenty of “change” in the coming years—unpleasant at best and catastrophic at worst.

Arguably, since our nation’s founding, no candidate has been less qualified than Obama to be his political party’s nominee for president of the United States. And nowhere is Obama more ill prepared than in matters of national security.

Obama responded to Iran’s missile tests this week, saying, “Now is the time to work with our friends and allies, and to pursue direct and aggressive diplomacy with the Iranian regime backed by tougher unilateral and multilateral sanctions. It’s time to offer the Iranians a clear choice between increased costs for continuing their troubling behavior, and concrete incentives that would come if they change course.”

“Incentives”? Mahmud Ahmadi-Nejad has vowed to destroy Israel and create another Holocaust. How about this incentive—a paraphrase from JFK during the Cuban missile debacle: “It shall be the policy of this nation to regard any missile launched from Iran against any ally of the United States as an attack by Iran on the United States, requiring a full retaliatory response upon Iran.”

Further, Obama insists, “I trust the American people to understand that it is not weakness, but wisdom to talk not just to our friends, but to our enemies, like Roosevelt did, and Kennedy did, and Truman did.”

Come again? A quick fact check and one finds that Franklin Roosevelt did not hold direct talks with Adolf Hitler or Hideki Tojo. Harry Truman’s “pre-conditions” for peace negotiations with Japan were two atomic bombs, and Truman didn’t talk with North Korean dictator Kim Il Sung after his invasion of South Korea in 1950. Instead, he sent troops, and we are still there, as we are in Japan and Germany. As for John Kennedy, he did meet with Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev in 1961. But Khrushchev knew, after Kennedy’s Bay of Pigs fiasco, that he could outflank Kennedy.

Elie Abel, who authored The Missile Crisis, the definitive text on Russia’s placement of long-range nukes in Cuba, said, “How close we came to Armageddon I did not fully realize until I started researching this book.” In it, he wrote, “There is reason to believe that Khrushchev took Kennedy’s measure in June 1961 and decided this was a young man who would shrink from hard decisions. There is no evidence to support the belief that Khrushchev ever questioned America’s power. He questioned only the president’s readiness to use it. As he once told Robert Frost, he came to believe that Americans are ‘too liberal to fight’.”

When Obama was asked if he would meet with North Korea’s Kim Jong-il, without preconditions, he responded, “I think it’s a disgrace that we have not spoken to them.”

Well heck, Ted Turner went to North Korea and did some negotiating. Perhaps Obama plans to appoint Turner’s ex, “Hanoi” Jane Fonda, his ambassador there.

Talk aside, we have boots on the ground in Iraq and Afghanistan, and in regard to Operation Iraqi Freedom, Obama’s abject nescience is readily apparent.

“Let me be as clear as I can be,” says Obama. “I intend to end this war. My first day in office I will bring the Joint Chiefs of Staff in and I will give them a new mission and that is to end this war—responsibly, deliberately, but decisively.”

The only way to end a war “responsibly, deliberately and decisively” is victory.

On retreat from Iraq, Obama says, “What’s important is to understand the difference between strategy and tactics... I am not somebody—unlike George Bush—who is willing to ignore facts on the basis of my preconceived notions.”

Of course, Obama announced this week that he plans to visit Iraq for a “fact-finding mission,” in order to make “a thorough assessment” [Read: “Change my policy”]. Here is a fact he might consider: Attacks in Iraq are down more than 90 percent over the previous year.

Regarding al-Qa’ida strongholds in Afghanistan or Pakistan, Obama says, “I think it would be a profound mistake for us to use nuclear weapons in any circumstance.” Rule number one—NEVER take any option off the table, EVER.

Most stupefyingly, Obama has pledged to revitalize the Clinton Doctrine for dealing with terrorists—treat terrorism as a criminal matter.

In regard to Obama’s plan for overall military preparedness, it just gets worse.

“I will cut investments in unproven missile defense systems.” This year, both our sea-based SM-3 and ground-based midcourse defense system missiles proved to be successful. The U.S. Bureau of Arms Control concluded in May, “The ballistic missile danger to the US, its forces deployed abroad, and allies and friends is real and growing.” Obama’s has pledged to abolish missile defense.

“I will not weaponize space.” Memo to Senator Obama: Our current policy is not to weaponize space.

“I will slow our development of future combat systems...” The average service age of our frontline fighter aircraft is 23 years. The Army’s Future Combat Systems is the first full-spectrum modernization effort since the 1960s. Of course, the Marines, who are still using some hardware from long-ago wars, have always improvised, adapted and overcome.

“I will set a goal of a world without nuclear weapons... I will seek a global ban on the production of fissile material and I will negotiate with Russia to take our ICBMs off hair-trigger alert and to achieve deep cuts in our nuclear arsenals.”

Well, I’m all for no nuclear weapons. However, until the other guys are willing to give up their 4,162 nukes, we had best maintain a deterrence strategy, and since most nuclear weapon components have a shelf life, we must continue to update our weapons for them to be functional. And what’s this nonsense about U.S. nuclear forces being on “hair-trigger alert”? Apparently, Candidate Obama has been watching reruns of “Dr. Strangelove.”

In his first annual address, President George Washington declared, “To be prepared for war, is one of the most effectual means of preserving peace.” Apparently, Obama, and the rest of his far-Left cadre, missed that memo.

In 1994, Ronald Reagan observed, “The Democrats may remember their lines, but how quickly they forget the lessons of the past. I have witnessed five major wars in my lifetime, and I know how swiftly storm clouds can gather on a peaceful horizon... In the end, it all comes down to leadership, and that is what this country is looking for now.”

Indeed, it is.


posted on July 12, 2008 1:33 PM ()

Comments:

The Arrogance of Losers
How many times do we bankrupt ourselves for a WWII defense only to lose to Third World nations? Our military has floundered in three Asian land wars without a clear vision of the mission.
Our leaders are hard put to find the enemy on a road map. They showered Vietnam with Agent Orange that returned home with our troops. We gave toxic agents to Saddam only to have the prevailing winds blow them back to our bases. We handed out 500,000 small arms to Iraqis without any record.
We put Osama on the map as an Afghan resistance leader fighting the Russians.
To finance our wars, we borrowed from the Chinese. Now, they can buy a number of US States, proclaim them as colonies to employ slave labor and sell trinkets to the white people.
In the coming election the Republicans could lose every office up for grabs.
Street corner bums could do better.
comment by bumpedoff on July 13, 2008 3:28 AM ()
Driving industry out of the country... Yea, with tax breaks for doing so..
reply by ekyprogressive on July 18, 2008 5:57 PM ()
You should try to organize your thoughts better. You write like Rush Limbaugh speaks before he takes drugs. The USA has been in steady decline since 1947 when GWB was a baby. The last eight years are punishment for mistakes long made. Fascism brought down our Republic in 1950. Socialism never took root in our country.
reply by bumpedoff on July 14, 2008 9:38 AM ()
You have such tunnel vision it's shocking. You so hate this war and Bush that you can see nothing outside of those terms. We did not have to borrow from China to "fund the war". We're borrowing from China for many reasons, most of them having nothing to do with the war. Our politicians are cramming their pockets with tax-payer money, they're making their friends rich too. The moronic socialist programs being implemented and proposed are utterly beyond the ability of tax-payers to fund. The government's attack on our industrial foundations are putting them out of business and driving them out of the country. We are being prevented from producing the wealth we once did. The list is endless yet all Leftists seem able to think about is how to create still more government as a SOULTION to our problems. How is it possible not to see that government IS the problem?
reply by think141 on July 14, 2008 8:25 AM ()
I find with gas prices at over $4.00 a gallon, the neoconservatives want to send them to $10 - $20 a gallon to further devastate the withering economy. I like George Bush's approach, we prefer diplomacy first? Well George, we're not talking to Iran it's just as inane as the comment that the U.S. has no plans to attack Iran, but that being said, we leave all options open. Just because McCain bombed civilians before lunch every day in Vietnam, it doesn't qualify this guy to be anything...zilch!

Anyone in their right mind wouldn't even consider opening yet another front in Iran in this precarious part of the world. So, what the hell, Hamas has about 40,000 missiles in Lebanon and Iran has at least 600 mobile missiles parked every where and the Strait of Hormuz would be shut down for at least a hell of a long time sending oil to levels unheard of?
Let us forget that if all hell breaks loose Iran could send troops into Iraq or lob a few missiles at Saudi Oil, sink quite a few of our ships, strike at Israel, draw Syria into the fold...I mean the whole thought of setting that region into flames is crazy. The tiny nation of Israel could be so devastated that even unleashing a few of their hundreds of nuclear war heads wouldn't stop anything. Hey, Pakistan has them too and may also join the fray.

The bottom line is yes, America must open direct talks with Iran if anything to blunt an attack by Israel before September. And second, Iran never said they would destroy Israel. There's no way in hell the U.S. won't be drawn into this if Israel attacks. Finally, if there's war with Iran in the region, we'll be entering into another era never before seen in this country. Definitely not a recession, but absolute certainty, an incredible depression.

As for the Cuban Missile Crisis, we can all be thankful that Kennedy prevailed over the military. To follow the foolishness of Le May would have instantly release 250 nuclear tipped short ranged missiles into the U.S. and you and I wouldn't be talking today....
comment by strider333 on July 13, 2008 1:26 AM ()
U.S. Undersecretary of State William Burns will attend a meeting July 19 between EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana and Iranian chief nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili, at which Iran will deliver its response to the Western package of incentives to abandon its nuclear program, the U.S. State Department said July 16.

Although both the United States and Iran are downplaying the event and insist their positions have not changed, this meeting is the most significant indicator yet of the progress that has been achieved in U.S.-Iranian back-channel communications. Burns would not be attending the meeting without some sort of prior agreement with the Iranians to move forward on the many issues between the two sides -- most notably Iran's nuclear program and the future of Iraq. On July 15, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said his government could soon hold formal negotiations with Washington "in different fields," one day after he expressed support for the opening of a U.S. diplomatic post in Tehran.

These statements follow the Bush administration's moves to drop its condition that Iran halt enrichment activity before any talks could take place and to delay negotiations with Iraq on a long-term U.S. military presence there. This series of developments, along with similar gestures from Iran, highlights the rapid progress in these talks that I expect in the third quarter. It is therefore quite likely that in the weeks ahead -- contrary to the U.S. claim that the Burns-Solana-Jalili meeting is a "one-time" event -- there will be additional rounds of higher-level public talks between the two sides on both the nuclear issue and Iraq.
reply by ancient1 on July 17, 2008 7:22 AM ()
I'd like for you to be correct A1, however, other sources suggest something quite different. One thing we can both agree on, if the sh*t hits the fan, we will have entered a completely different world.
reply by strider333 on July 13, 2008 8:09 PM ()
Strider,
Thanks for the comment. However, you must secure better intelligence sources. After reading ekyprogressive's, Bumpedoff's and your comments I was struck by how misinformed you guys are. Hello....???

Let me give you an accurate update, as to what is currently taking place. Then, with this brief analysis you can start to understand what is going on there. Including the talks, already taking place.

Israeli fighter jets have been flying over Jordanian airspace and landing in Iraq over the past month to practice for a raid on Iranian nuclear sites, Iraqi news agency Nahrainnet reported July 11, citing sources in the Iraqi Defense Ministry. The Iraqi news agency reported that the Israeli warplanes mostly flew at night and landed at U.S. air bases near Haditha, in western Anbar province, and in Nasiriyah in southern Iraq.

The Iraqi news report is intended to give the impression that the United States is already actively cooperating in an Israeli attack against Iran -- and that such an attack could be imminent.

Iran’s Press TV picked up the Iraqi news report, as did major Israeli media outlets later. Israeli government spokesman Mark Regev denied the Iraqi report, saying it was "erroneous'' and adding that Israel has no hostile intentions toward Iran. A statement from Iraq's Defense Ministry followed, denying knowledge of any Israeli air force drills in its airspace.

The mysterious report in the Iraqi press appears to be yet another link in an ongoing and intensifying psywar campaign against Iran. While Israel does possess the weaponry to launch a debilitating strike against Iran, it would not be able to enter Iranian airspace on its own. Israeli fighter jets would need cooperation from Turkey, Saudi Arabia or U.S. forces in Iraq to access Iranian airspace. Out of the three, the third is the most viable option. But U.S. forces have shown little inclination to assist in an Israeli air attack against Iran given the fragile negotiations Washington is pursuing with Tehran.

Most significantly, if this were a real preparation for an attack, its operational security was just blown sky high. The attack could only be carried out now if the Israelis and Americans were incredibly confident the attack would take place without resistance and without Iranian material and personnel being relocated. Under normal circumstances, a breach of security like this would provide ample justification to abort such an attack (meaning that in the unlikely event that this was the real deal, a large bevy of Israeli fighter-bombers would soon be seen flying west).

Moreover, there appears to be only one U.S. carrier in Iran’s vicinity at the present time, the USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group (CSG). The CSC was relocated from the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman, and is now currently providing air support for security operations in Afghanistan, along with the USS Peleliu Expeditionary Strike Group in the Persian Gulf. An effective U.S. strike on Iran would likely involve a great deal more fighting power in the Persian Gulf were an attack imminent.

A psywar campaign targeting Iran has been steadily building up in recent weeks with Israeli war games in the Mediterranean, threats of Western energy firms pulling out of Iran, sanctions being tightened and war threats from all sides making their way into the press through anonymous leaks. At the same time, negotiations between Iran and the United States have shown progress, with Iran currently in talks with the West over its nuclear program. If Washington and Tehran are close to clinching a deal on Iraq, now is the time for the United States to convince the Iranians that imminent military action is still on the table if Iran does not follow through with its end of the bargain. And even though the Iraqi report on Israeli practice raids has more than enough punch to make oil prices jump, the probability of war in the Persian Gulf is still low.
reply by ancient1 on July 13, 2008 9:40 AM ()
Are you talking about the photoshopped missile launches? Some worked, some photoshopped...

http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2008/07/200871132934149484.html

Oh and that Yellow-cake...
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20080706/D91O8E100.html

"While yellowcake alone is not considered potent enough for a so-called "dirty bomb" - a conventional explosive that disperses radioactive material - it could stir widespread panic if incorporated in a blast. Yellowcake also can be enriched for use in reactors and, at higher levels, nuclear weapons using sophisticated equipment."
...
"which had been stored in aging drums and containers since before the 1991 Gulf War. There was no evidence of any yellowcake dating from after 1991, the official said."

The Iraqi government said they want us out. It's time to let them have their country back. We have done enough damage and killed enough innocent people don't you think?

And do you think it is bad to cut funding to "unproven" missile programs, as you point out. How about we focus on ones that work...LOL

How anyone could consider anything other than what we have as "worse" is beyond me...
comment by ekyprogressive on July 12, 2008 2:20 PM ()

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